All Articles ByYosef Yabece

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Experts Put to the Test: Are Their Predictions Better Than Random Guesses?

Over 20 years, from 1984 to 2003, Tetlock conducted extensive prediction competitions. He gathered almost 300 experts from various fields—academics, government officials, journalists, and the like—and asked them to make general forecasts across a variety of political and economic scenarios, including those in their areas of expertise.

In the Name of Science: Loyalty to Truth or Personal Interests?

The Marquis de Laplace didn't dabble in gender studies or such subjects, where anyone could become a professor. He specialized in precise science. Yet, despite his focus, he was known to change colors like a chameleon, supporting those who best served his interests, all under the banner of science and probability.

The Enigmatic Tree and the Ancient Synagogue of Damouha

When the Sultan's entourage arrived in the morning, they found the tree bent and withered. "What a pity," they thought, "that such a beautiful tree is now ruined. There's no point in using its timber." They went to find another tree for the Sultan. But as soon as they left, the tree sprang back to life, its branches stretching skyward once more.

Rebels Against Rome: The Legendary Martyrs of Lod

Seeking revenge against a tyrant, rebels executed his daughter, triggering a brutal crackdown threatened to annihilate the Jews of Lod. Yet, two brave souls stepped forward, ready to sacrifice their lives for the community.

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